What we already know about the 2022 midterm elections

The Millennial Source
5 min readMar 25, 2021

This appeared in The Millennial Source

In recent history, midterm elections have weakened the party of the president. If this political trend holds in 2022, Democrats could lose control of either the House or the Senate, or both.

Though November 8, 2022 is still a year and a half away, attention in the United States has already turned to the 2022 midterm elections and how they will affect the balance of power in Washington, DC.

Some politicians have preemptively announced they will not be running in 2022, while outside hopefuls are looking to gain name recognition as they prepare to take on the difficult task of unseating an incumbent.

In recent history, midterm elections have weakened the party of the president. In both 2010 and 2014, with Democratic President Barack Obama in office, Republicans made significant gains in Congress, giving them the power to act as a check on the president’s agenda.

Likewise, in 2018, during President Donald Trump’s tenure, Republicans lost control of the House of Representatives for the first time since 2011.

If this political trend holds in 2022, Democrats could lose control of either the House or the Senate, or both. The party’s control of Congress is already fragile, with a 50/50 split in the Senate and a lead of less than 10 representatives in the House (even after all vacancies are filled).

All 435 House seats will be up for election in 2022, as will 34 Senate seats. There will also be significant state elections that could help shape the national political landscape. While much can change between now and the 2022 midterm elections, some details are already coming into focus.

Looking toward the 2022 midterm elections

In certain spheres, the results of the 2020 election are still being litigated. Faith in election security is especially low among Republican voters, the majority of whom are reported to believe claims by former President Trump that rampant fraud changed the ultimate result.

At the moment, the Democrats control the presidency, the Senate and the House, a coalition of power known as the “trifecta” in political parlance…

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